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Twitter Threads by @RealJoelSmalley

Joel Smalley
@RealJoelSmalley
Quantitative analyst, specialist in time-series and stochastic data analysis. All views my own, not those of organisations I'm a member of. I dare to speak out.
Since: Jan. 18, 2019, 10:43 a.m.

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Joel Smalley

@RealJoelSmalley

Created: March 24, 2021, 11:50 a.m.

A summary of law taken from a a lawyer colleague that is relevant to COVID-19 vaccination for those who would like to be properly positioned. As the COVID-19 vaccines do not finish their trials until 2023 they are classed as experimental treatment and scientific research.

Joel Smalley

@RealJoelSmalley

Created: Feb. 28, 2021, 10:20 a.m.

Quick study on Scotland COVID hospitalisations. I find interventions during the epidemic (#1) possibly relieved NHS of 5k hospitalisations; in the autumn tail (#2) 1.7k; in the winter resuregence (#3), none at all. Also look at the completely different attack rate and decay.🤷‍♂️ https://t.co/QCsaJLmBR4

Joel Smalley

@RealJoelSmalley

Created: Feb. 24, 2021, 10:05 a.m.

Grateful to a colleague who pointed out that North Dakota quietly lifted their restrictions on 18-Jan, I'm reposting my analysis of the Dakotas, two US states that are almost identical in geographic and demographic terms. https://t.co/Q1oGA1wZyq

Joel Smalley

@RealJoelSmalley

Created: Feb. 23, 2021, 3:39 p.m.

We can be very grateful for the North Dakota experiment of mandating masks and social distinacing to show the potential effect of controlling transmission.

Joel Smalley

@RealJoelSmalley

Created: Feb. 23, 2021, 8:51 a.m.

I guess everyone has heard about the "spectacular" results of the vaccine in Scotland? https://t.co/PUlbTsqQhg Much like The Telegraph/Spiegelhalter "conclusions" last week, I'm sorry, but I have a real problem with the maths... So much so that I couldn't sleep last night...